There is no way to spin the fact that former Vice President Joe Biden had a dismal showing in the Democratic Iowa caucuses, finishing in a distant fourth place behind Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) and former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg — who were virtually tied for first place — as well as Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) in third place.
Given the fact that Biden has been heralded as the clear frontrunner since he first entered the race in April of 2019, the result was surely a stunning blow, and it appears to have caused Biden to temporarily disappear from the campaign trail even as the next important contest, the New Hampshire primary, is only days away, The Daily Caller reported.
Biden missing from New Hampshire
Reports indicate that Biden was “nowhere to be found” in New Hampshire on Thursday, despite there being a debate scheduled for Friday and the state’s primary election scheduled slated to be held on Tuesday.
Instead, it was revealed that Biden had gathered with his family and closest campaign advisers at his home in Delaware, no doubt to discuss the debacle in Iowa just days earlier as well as to strategize his path forward — if one can even be conceived at this point.
Things aren’t looking much better for the New Hampshire primary than they were in the Iowa caucuses for the man once touted as the strongest candidate to take on President Donald Trump in November.
Steep drop in support
Indeed, the RealClearPolitics average of polls in the Granite State shows that Biden’s support has declined precipitously, dropping some five points in just three days, from 17.8% and second place on Feb. 5 to 12.6% percent and third place as of Feb. 8.
However, Biden’s steep decline in New Hampshire actually began a few weeks earlier, right around the time the impeachment trial began in Washington, D.C., in which he and his son, Hunter, and their questionable business activities in Ukraine were a topic of frequent discussion.
The RCP average had Biden in first place with 23.3% percent support in New Hampshire as recently as Jan. 15. But now, he is barely hanging on to third place at 12.6%, less than half a percentage point ahead of Warren at 12.2% support.
Troubles continue to mount
To be sure, Biden’s campaign will undoubtedly dismiss his poor showing in Iowa and New Hampshire and claim that he never expected to do well there in the first place. His representatives will likely suggest that he is instead focused on winning the upcoming Nevada caucuses and South Carolina primary, where he can benefit from his popularity among minority voters who comprise a larger portion of the electorate in those states.
That doesn’t appear to be as surefire of a bet as it may have been before, however, as the RCP averages for both states show that his support has similarly declined there as well, much as it did in Iowa and New Hampshire.
In Nevada, Biden still retains the lead with 21% support as of late January, but that is down substantially from the 28.3% he had in mid-January. As for South Carolina, Biden still holds a significant lead over everyone else with 31% support as of early February, but just as in the other states, his support there has dropped from prior polls in the past few months that showed him with support percentages in the upper-30s to mid-40s.
In other words, between his entanglement in the impeachment controversy and his terrible showing in Iowa, not to mention all of the other issues that have clung to him since he first entered the race, Biden’s support appears to be bottoming out. It is likely only a matter of time before the man once proclaimed to be the Democrats’ best hope of defeating Trump is throwing in the towel on another failed bid for the White House.