Former Vice President Joe Biden, once heralded by the media and political establishment as the Democrat candidate with the best chance to defeat President Donald Trump in November, just suffered an embarrassingly dismal performance in the problem-plagued Iowa caucuses on Monday.
During a Democratic primary debate on Friday hosted by ABC News, Biden admitted to his poor showing in the Hawkeye state and even suggested that his placement in the upcoming New Hampshire primary election next Tuesday would be equally disappointing, Breitbart reported.
“I’ll probably take a hit” in New Hampshire
From the moment Biden first entered the race in April of 2019, he was touted as the undisputed frontrunner and there were predictions that he could potentially run the table in the important first four primary contests — Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina — on his way to a near-certain nomination at the Democratic National Convention in the summer.
But as the smoke cleared from the utter mess of a caucus in Iowa, it was revealed that Biden had finished in a distant fourth place behind Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), former South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) — and recent polling shows that the situation in New Hampshire doesn’t look all that much better for him.
Biden acknowledged as much at the start of the debate in New Hampshire on Friday, and said, “This is a long race. I took a hit in Iowa, and I’ll probably take a hit here.”
“No matter what, I’m still in this”
“Traditionally — Bernie won by 20 points last time. And usually, it’s the neighboring senators that do well,” Biden explained. “But I’m — no matter what, I’m still in this for the same reason. I’m going to — we have to restore the soul of this country, bring back the middle class, and make sure we bring people together.”
“And so, it’s a simple proposition. It doesn’t matter whether it’s this one or the next. I’ve always viewed the first four encounters, the two primaries and two caucuses as the starting point,” he added.
“It’s a long race. I took a hit in Iowa,” former Vice President Joe Biden tells @GStephanopoulos when asked about Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg coming out on top in Iowa. https://t.co/93QauZSK6e #DemDebate pic.twitter.com/MUYN2fFVYE
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) February 8, 2020
Support continues to slide
In all likelihood, Biden is correct in assuming that he will “take a hit” in New Hampshire, that is if the RealClearPolitics average of polls is anywhere close to correct.
The latest RCP average in the Granite State shows Biden in a distant third place behind Sanders and Buttigieg with only 12.6% support. That represents a 5.2% decline since the start of the week and Iowa caucuses and an 11.1% decline from his position in first place in the state as of the middle of January.
Furthermore, if Biden’s campaign was banking on his doing well and winning in Nevada and South Carolina to make up for his poor showing in Iowa and expected poor performance in New Hampshire, they may want to hedge those bets.
The RCP averages for both of those states show that, while Biden is still in first place for both, his support has been plummeting at a similar pace seen in the first two states, and it is quite possible that he could end up losing that top spot before votes are actually cast in the next few weeks.
If Biden indeed fails to win any of the first four primary contests, he may as well go ahead and call it quits for his campaign, as his chances for winning the nomination will have all but disappeared.