Democratic leaders and some media personalities have focused on a range of recent polls showing President Donald Trump trailing presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden.
As Washington Examiner columnist Paul Bedard argued in a recent opinion piece, however, those numbers do not seem to match up with what has been happening on the ground in connection with Biden’s campaign.
Specifically, he points to the behavior of primary election voters in both parties and the apparent contrast in enthusiasm levels.
“Biden did even worse”
Bedard wrote that New York primary results show Biden with just over two-thirds of the vote despite the fact that Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, who received 19.1% and 4.4% of the vote, respectively, dropped out of the race months earlier.
He stressed that the phenomenon is not unique to New York, citing a Kentucky primary race in which “Biden did even worse,” securing a vote from just over 57% of his party.
Trump, who is facing his own longshot primary challengers, has conversely been able to secure the overwhelming majority of GOP support.
Bedard quoted Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel, who weighed in on the impact of the president’s endorsement of Republican Chris Jacobs in a recent special election for New York’s 27th Congressional District.
“Once again, President Trump’s support reigns supreme when it comes to special elections,” she said.
“Trump’s support reigns supreme”
McDaniel also called the result a “huge win for Chris Jacobs” as well as evidence of the “momentum and energy that Republican voters have for President Trump and Republican candidates up and down the ballot that will carry us forward to victory in November.”
An ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted in March found Republican voters far more enthusiastic about supporting Trump than Democrats were to back Biden.
“Indeed, strong enthusiasm for Biden among his supporters – at just 24% – is the lowest on record for a Democratic presidential candidate in 20 years of ABC/Post polls,” ABC News reported. “More than twice as many of Trump’s supporters are highly enthusiastic about supporting him, 53%.”
Although national polls still show Biden with a healthy lead, the 2016 election proved that such surveys can be quite misleading. At this point in the campaign cycle, enthusiasm could be among the most important traits for either candidate’s supporters.