Fox News reported last Friday that new polling data shows former Vice President Joe Biden is now in a dead heat with President Donald Trump.
This is a staggering collapse from earlier polls, in which Biden led Trump by nearly 10 points.
Biden loses ground
The poll was conducted on behalf of the network by Braun Research among 1,107 registered voters from April 4 to April 7 and had a 3 point margin of error.
It showed both Biden and Trump garnering the backing of 42 percent of voters, with 16 percent either being undecided or supporting a third-party candidate. According to Fox News, this is Trump’s best showing against Biden “while Biden’s mark is his lowest by far.”
The results represent a major improvement for the president, as an identical poll taken in March had Biden besting Trump by a margin of 9 points.
The former vice president saw declines in support among both women and minorities, both considered key demographics for him. Most remarkably, his support among Democrats has fallen from 87 percent to 80 percent.
A divided electorate
White women were sharply divided in their views of Trump. Whereas only 25 percent of white college-educated women said they “strongly approved” of the president’s performance, that number jumped to 38 percent among white women without degrees.
If the election were held today, 52 percent of non-college educated white women said they would cast their ballot for Trump, compared to just 37 percent of white female college graduates.
The poll was overseen by Democrat Chris Anderson and Republican Daron Shaw. Both gave Fox News their thoughts as to what the data means. “The timing of the coronavirus pandemic meant Biden didn’t get the opportunity to rally crowds and build enthusiasm after his big primary wins in early March,” Anderson noted.
“And now Americans of all political stripes have a shared enemy in coronavirus, and the right thing for him to do from a public health perspective is stay home,” he continued, adding, “That’s a tough position for the Biden campaign.”
“Above all else, party identification is an attitude — one that is influenced by the politics of the day,” Shaw argued. “A global pandemic and Trump’s daily press conferences appear to have revved up Republicans and quieted Democratic voters.”
Throughout his campaign, Biden has made many high-profile gaffes and verbal missteps that have caused some to question the former vice president’s mental fitness.