As Donald Trump gains ground in Pennsylvania — one of the most critical battleground states — the triumphant tone among Democrats is beginning to fade.
Pollster Nate Silver delivered another blow to Democrats by predicting that a Trump win in the Keystone state could mean total defeat for Democrat nominee Joe Biden.
Down to the wire
In an appearance on ABC’s “This Week” over the weekend, Silver said that whichever candidate wins Pennsylvania — and it’s 20 electoral votes — will likely win the election.
“Pennsylvania has not bumped up to a 7- or 8-point Biden lead like we see in Michigan and Wisconsin,” Silver warned Democrats. “It’s not a big early voting state, so a lot of votes have not yet been cast in Pennsylvania.”
Not only is Pennsylvania a major early voting state, but according to reports, seven counties that voted for Trump in 2016 will not tabulate their mail-in ballots until after election day due to a lack of resources and staff.
Silver, who founded FiveThirtyEight, a poll analysis website, observed that a loss in Pennsylvania would turn Biden into the 2020 election’s “underdog,” a title the mainstream media has desperately pushed on Donald Trump for months.
“Maybe a lot of little things add up and Biden loses Pennsylvania by half a point, and then he doesn’t quite pull off Arizona or North Carolina. He does have other options,” Silver explained. “But still, without Pennsylvania, then Biden becomes an underdog.”
Silver’s FiveThirtyEight placed Biden in a 4.8 percent lead over Trump in Pennsylvania over the weekend, but RealClearPolitics’ polling average only awarded Biden a 2.9 percent lead — hardly an overwhelming lead for the Democrat hopeful.
More bad news
The Biden campaign received even further disturbing news from local election officials in Pennsylvania who stated that Beaver, Cumberland, Franklin, Greene, Juniata, Mercer, and Montour counties will not count mail-in ballots until after election day.
Roughly 150,000 voters in all seven counties requested mail-in ballots, and all seven counties went for Trump in 2016. Democrats pushed hard to allow votes to be counted after election day, but the plan may have backfired.
Democrat Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro triumphantly declared last week that “if all the votes are added up in PA, Trump is going to lose,” suggesting that the race had already been called in Biden’s favor.
On Monday, Shapiro’s tweets had a decidedly less confident tone. “In Pennsylvania, we know how to follow the law and run our elections. We’ve done it for centuries. People vote. We add up all the eligible votes. And we the people pick the president,” Shapiro admitted.