Those on the left have for months touted polling numbers that showed President Donald Trump trailing far behind his Democratic rival. But it looks like Joe Biden’s once-steady lead is quickly collapsing — and at the worst time possible.
In a Wednesday report for the Washington Examiner, columnist Paul Bedard highlighted “two key polls” that he says “show Biden tumbling and Trump rising” with less than two weeks to go until Election Day.
Biden falls flat
According to Bedard, Rasmussen released the results Wednesday of a poll that showed Biden leading Trump by just three points among voters nationwide.
With 49% of respondents backing the former vice president, the results represent the first time that Biden’s support has dropped below 50% in the last month, Bedard notes.
It’s a dramatic turn of fortune for the Democrat presidential nominee, who “had a 12-point lead” just “two weeks ago,” Rasmussen reported. “A week ago, he was ahead by eight.”
More bad news for Joe
Bedard also pointed Wednesday to another poll that showed the incumbent president gaining ground: a survey released the day prior by Investors Business Daily (IBD), taken in conjunction with TIPP, pegged Biden’s support at 48.1% among voters, and Trump’s at 45.6%.
The IBD/TIPP poll indicated, however, that Trump is encountering difficulty in suburban areas, which “may be the big difference this year,” IBD reported. The outlet went on:
The IBD/TIPP presidential poll shows suburban voters back Biden vs. Trump, 50.5% to 42%. By comparison, exit polls from 2016 show Trump won the suburbs, 50%–45%.
Still, IBD acknowledged that “President Trump has a clear advantage when it comes to voters’ intensity of support,” with 76% of those who plan to cast a ballot for the president saying that they back him “strongly.” By contrast, only 68% of Biden voters say the same about their preferred candidate.
The big question
Perhaps even more telling: the IBD/TIPP poll showed quite a discrepancy between the number of voters who say they support Biden and those who believe he will ultimately prevail.
“Despite Biden’s 2020 election poll lead, just 37% of voters expect him to win, while 38% think Trump will prevail,” Investors Business Daily explained in its report. “Meanwhile, 50% think most of their neighbors will vote for Trump, and just 34% think their neighbors will mostly back Biden.”
The gap could be evidence of a phenomenon that Trafalgar Group pollster Robert Cahaly broke down with Fox News’ Sean Hannity this week. “What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote,” Cahaly said, according to The Hill. “There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they’re not interested in sharing their opinions readily.”
Only time will tell.