Report: Primary turnout in California suggests GOP could reclaim House seats lost in 2018

Last week, former Vice President Joe Biden made headlines with his unexpected series of victories on Super Tuesday. However, he wasn’t the only one to deliver an impressive showing.

California saw heavy Republican turnout as well, a sign that 2020 elections in a a number of House races may have very different outcomes than in 2018, and if that turns out to be the case, then House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-CA) speakership is unlikely to last, the Washington Examiner reports.

“California is a blue state, but parts of it are purple,” the San Francisco Chronicle quoted a Sonoma State University political science professor as saying.

“It will be a difficult road for the Democrats to run the table again this year,” he went on, arguing that Democrats will be in good shape if they are able to retain four of the six seats that they won in 2018.

Democrats appear vulnerable

Fred Whitaker certainly seems confident. Whitaker serves as Republican Party chairman in Orange County, and he has high expectations for November.

“On Tuesday night, the waters of the blue wave began to recede,” he boasted to the Chronicle, going on to say “Republicans showed that we will take back Orange County.”

“The pathway to restoring the House of Representatives is through Orange County,” the county GOP leader predicted.

Political observer J.D. Rucker agreed that Tuesday’s numbers suggest Democrats will face an uphill fight in the general election.

“It’s official,” Rucker wrote the next day at NOQ Report. “The House is up for grabs. There are nine seats held by Democrats in trouble in radical progressive California while all of the Republican seats are safe. Nancy Pelosi’s days with the gavel appear to be limited. Again.”

Republican enthusiasm surges

A high degree of enthusiasm among Republican voters hasn’t been limited to the Golden State. In February, New Hampshire Republicans turned out in record numbers to support President Trump despite the fact that he faced no credible primary challenger, Politico reported.

Iowa saw substantial GOP voter activity as well, with Trump receiving over 31,000 votes in its caucuses. By way of contrast, Politico reported that President Barack Obama only received 25,000 votes in the state’s caucus process during his 2012 re-election bid.

“Impeachment has lit a fire under the Trump base — and I anticipate it will burn until Election Day in November,” former Minnesota Republican Sen. Norm Coleman told the website. “Voter intensity is a key element in electoral success.”

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