CNN cited a recent poll showing President Donald Trump in an inauspicious position ahead of November’s election. A closer look at the SSRS survey, however, revealed some potentially misleading details in its methodology.
According to Breitbart, the poll’s respondents included “an oversample of 250 black, nonHispanic respondents,” which is a group statistically more inclined to support Democratic candidates.
“Worst approval rating since January 2019”
Respondents were polled between June 2 and June 5 — and the results were presented with a margin of error around 3.4%.
CNN’s coverage pointed to the result of one question in particular, which asked respondents which candidate they would be most likely to vote for if the election were being held on the day of the poll. Biden came out on top with 55% support compared to Trump’s 41%.
The network reported it as the president’s “worst approval rating since January 2019, and roughly on par with approval ratings for Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush at this point in their re-election years.”
While CNN focused on the fact that both of those presidents lost their bids for a second term, Breitbart pointed out the possibility that the results were skewed by oversampling a group more likely to favor the former vice president.
As for Trump, he spoke out against CNN’s polling results in a tweet on Monday.
“As Fake as their Reporting”
CNN Polls are as Fake as their Reporting. Same numbers, and worse, against Crooked Hillary. The Dems would destroy America!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) June 8, 2020
Despite the fact that Trump fared better among black voters than either Republican candidate in the previous two presidential election cycles, Pew Research found that Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton nevertheless carried 88 percent of the bloc’s support in 2016.
Biden has noted this advantage during the campaign, earning criticism when he said that anyone considering a vote for Trump “ain’t black.”
Of course, Clinton had a similar advantage in 2016 as polls during that cycle also predicted an easy victory for the former secretary of state.
Those projections proved faulty back then, and CNN appears to be hawking another flawed result in an effort to predict an early conclusion to the Trump administration. In the end, though, it will be up to the voters who cast a ballot on November 3.