CNN says Liz Cheney has only a 10% chance of being re-elected

CNN was happy this week to talk about a Republican’s poor chances for re-election rather than keep talking about a likely red tsunami in this years’ midterms.

Data reporter for the network Harry Enten gave Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY) only a 10% chance of re-election, and the major reason why is that she voted to impeach former President Donald Trump and has been an ardent never-Trumper for as long as anyone can remember.

“On Cheney, if you go over to Wyoming, look at her disapproval rating,” Enten said. “Essentially, what you see is that it has doubled, more than doubled, gone up 40 points from before she voted to impeach Donald Trump to after voting to impeach Donald Trump.”

Before her impeachment vote, only 26% disapproved of Cheney, but now, that figure is 72%.

Betting odds

The 10% figure didn’t come from Enten himself, but from the betting odds that she would be able to pull out a victory.

“If you look at the betting odds, whether or not she’ll win reelection, only about a 10% chance she’ll win,” Enten told Anderson Cooper.

He also commented on her political lineage–her father Dick Cheney was Vice President under George W. Bush and served as Secretary of Defense for Bush’s father when he was president.

“Given the political dynasty she’s from … that’s incredible,” Cooper said of her slim chances to win.

Small distraction

For Enten, it’s a small distraction from the recent litany of more than Democrats who have either decided not to run for re-election in 2022 and districts that have gone from Democrat-leaning to toss-ups or worse.

Enten has been making the rounds at CNN, predicting doom and gloom for Democrats in both the Senate and the House. He said in early June that Republicans are in the “best position in 80 years” to gain seats, and everyone is well aware that they don’t need to gain many seats at all in order to recapture the majority–nine seats at most if you count vacancies in the House, and just one seat in the Senate.

If history holds, there could be thirty to forty Republican seats gained this cycle, which would effectively shut down Biden’s agenda and possibly even slow judicial nominees and appointments to a crawl.

Now there is a staff exodus expected from President Joe Biden’s office before the midterms as well. It seems that everything that can go wrong for Biden and the Democrats is doing so, all at the same time.

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