Historical trends and other factors seem to place Republicans in a prime position to regain a majority on Capitol Hill after next year’s midterm elections.
Now, a top Democrat is reportedly warning that his party would likely lose its advantage in the House of Representatives if the elections were held today.
U.S. Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY), who heads the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, issued the stark warning to Democrats at a closed-door lunch last week.
During that event, he presented allies with polling data that showed Democrats falling behind the GOP on a generic ballot in many battleground districts.
According to the survey he cited, just 42% of voters trust Democrats to handle the economy as the U.S. suffers from stubbornly high inflation. One attendee at the meeting called the news in Maloney’s briefing “dismal.”
Of course, the New York Democrat did his best to put a positive spin on the report, reassuring Democrats that they could avert disaster by recalibrating with a greater focus on President Joe Biden’s agenda.
Focus groups have found, however, that despite giving him high marks, Biden voters are largely unsure about what the president has actually accomplished thus far in his term.
For her part, U.S. Rep. Debbie Dingell (D-MI) insists that Biden’s successful economic policies are “not breaking through” to resonate with many American voters.
Not everyone is shaken by the dire warnings, as DCCC Executive Director Tim Persico explained in his statement on the matter.
“We are not afraid of this data,” he asserted, adding that his party is “not trying to hide” from policies that are “incredibly popular” across the nation.
Decreasing public approval for the Biden administration’s approach to the border, crime, and even COVID-19 appear to challenge that narrative, though. Furthermore, Vice President Kamala Harris is widely unpopular, leading the White House to carefully consider where it will send her on the campaign trail.
Considering the tendency for the party in control of the White House to lose seats in midterm races, history is also no on the Democratic Party’s side. With elections still more than a year away, it remains to be seen what the nation will look like when voters head to the polls.