Recent polls have held bad news for Republicans, with many showing President Donald Trump trailing far behind former Vice President Joe Biden.
However, Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) isn’t so sure that the polling data is necessarily correct. While the Michigan Democrat isn’t necessarily predicting a loss, she is warning members of her party against overconfidence.
Slotkin: Ignore the polls
“If the election was held today, before I’ve really gotten to work for it? I don’t know,” Slotkin acknowledged during an interview with Politico, adding, “I think probably I would win.”
“But for me, it’s really important to have neighbors talking to neighbors and we haven’t been able to do as much of that,” she pointed out. “I think, without doing the work, a smart person’s money should be on a Republican candidate.”
The former CIA intelligence officer dismissed political prognosticators who say they can forecast a Biden win, saying, “I don’t believe it.”
“Listen, if anyone tells me they can accurately predict what major events are coming in the remainder of 2020, I’ll give them a thousand dollars,” Slotkin continued. She went on to warn against overconfidence among Democrats, stressing, “I don’t for one minute think this [presidential] race is safe in anyone’s column.”
“I’ve been literally begging people to ignore those polls. They are a snapshot in time. And if 2020 has taught us anything, it’s that we have no idea what’s coming next.”
Slotkin: Polls undercount Trump voters
Slotkin recalled how she spoke to a pollster who said that surveys “fundamentally undercounted the Trump vote” in 2016 because “the Trump voter is not a voter in every single election, that they come out for Trump, so they’re hard to count.”
What’s more, the congresswoman also pointed out that many Trump supporters didn’t “have any desire to be on those poll calls” and thus refused to participate. “I believe that same thing is happening right now,” she said.
Breitbart noted that Slotkin only defeated her Republican opponent by 3.8 percent and that it was one of 13 congressional districts that elected a Democrat in 2018 after having supported President Trump two years earlier.
A poll published on July 8 by The Hill had Trump trailing the former vice president by 4 points nationally. A similar survey published in June showed a disparity of 10 points between the two candidates.
Meanwhile, a USA Today-Suffolk poll reported that the percentage of Trump supporters who are enthusiastic about voting for their candidate is almost double the percentage of Democrats who are excited to turn out for Biden.