For Democrats, Donald Trump’s surprise 2016 victory continues to cast a shadow.
Despite Joe Biden’s polling lead, supporters of the former vice president are less confident that their candidate will win than Trump supporters, the Washington Examiner reports.
Dems are worried
According to the official story, Trump did terribly at the first debate, he botched the nation’s response to the coronavirus, and he’s down in the polls — too far down to make a recovery. Beneath all the gloating in the media, though, lies a creeping anxiety.
Traumatized by Trump’s win in 2016, many Democrats are taking little solace in the polls, according to the Examiner, and Biden’s campaign is calling on his supporters to take nothing for granted.
The Examiner talked to voters supporting both candidates in the key swing state of Pennsylvania, where they observed a disparity: Democrats worry about a reprise of that terrible nightmare from four years ago, while Trump voters seem confident that the president will make them proud again.
“I don’t want to count my chickens before, put the carriage ahead of the horse, so to speak,” one Biden voter in Wilkes-Barre told the outlet.
This gap seems to be borne out in polling: in an October poll, 79% of Trump voters thought their candidate would win, versus 70% of Biden voters who thought the same of Biden, the Examiner reported.
This confidence gap also seems to correspond with the widely remarked enthusiasm gap between the candidates.
Against the “Trump is doomed” narrative, there is another story that goes like this: while Trump supporters are excited to vote for Trump, Biden supporters just want Trump to lose — and of course, there’s always the “hidden Trump voter.” Anecdotally speaking, some point to what they consider a more conspicuous display of Trump support, whether measured in yard signs or truck parades that have cropped up in towns all across the country.
Of course, it would be a mistake for Trumpers to get complacent, too. The polling is not entirely favorable: that October poll marked a 10% drop for Trump, according to the Examiner, and the electorate at large went from thinking Trump would win to being split. And of course, Biden supporters are not all doom and gloom, either. “It’s going to be close. A lot of Trumpers switched over, I think,” one told the Examiner.
But the confidence of Trump’s base is something different altogether. One woman who supports Trump told the Examiner of a “feeling” that Trump, somehow, is going to win again — this time in a “landslide.”
Crazy? Perhaps. Then again, with Trump, who knows?