Economist John Lott estimates 289,000 ‘excess’ votes were cast for Biden in November election

President Donald Trump has led an ongoing campaign to expose what he believes was rampant fraud in November’s White House race.

While courts and the mainstream media have largely dismissed those claims, some allies — including economist John R. Lott Jr. — have provided their own data in an attempt to support the president’s election-related challenges.

“Suspicious” data

According to the Washington Examiner, Lott has concluded after conducting his own analysis that there were as many as 289,000 “excess” votes cast for Biden in six crucial battleground states.

He explained that the data was based on a comparison between certain precincts in Fulton County, Georgia, and Allegheny County, Pennsylvania, and bordering precincts in neighboring counties.

The differences in the reported results, Lott claimed, were subsequently deemed “suspicious.”

More specifically, Lott looked at the share of absentee and provisional ballots cast for Trump in the target county precincts as compared to the bordering precincts. He then put those numbers up against the in-person vote share as well as the results of the 2016 election.

For his part, Trump shared Lott’s study in a tweet last week, writing: “New Lott study estimates 11,350 absentee votes lost to Trump in Georgia. Another 289,000 ‘excess (fraudulent) votes’ across GA, AZ, MI, NV, PA, and WI. Check it out!”

“Best estimate”

Lott wrote in his resulting report that the “best estimate” in Georgia is that there was “an unusual 7.81% drop in Trump’s percentage of the absentee ballots for Fulton County alone of 11,350 votes, or over 80% of Biden’s vote lead.”

According to his interpretation of the data from Allegheny County, a similar trend was at play in that pivotal election.

“The same approach is applied to Allegheny County in Pennsylvania for both absentee and provisional ballots,” he wrote. “The estimated number of fraudulent votes from those two sources is about 55,270 votes.”

Voter fraud can occur in various forms, he explained, including “higher rates of filling out absentee ballots for people who hadn’t voted, dead people voting, ineligible people voting, or even payments to legally registered people for their votes.”

In Georgia and Pennsylvania alone, “estimates indicate that there were 70,000 to 79,000 ‘excess’ votes,” he concluded, noting that the addition of Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin drive that estimate “up to 289,000 excess votes.”

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