Independents lean toward Donald Trump over Joe Biden, according to recent polls

 June 7, 2023

According to a recent poll conducted by The Economist and YouGov, when given the choice between former President Donald Trump and current Vice President Joe Biden, more independents choose Trump.

If the main election for 2024 were conducted today, respondents were asked who they would vote for between Biden and Trump, as Breitbart News reported.

There is a tie between the two prospective challengers at 39% of the vote. This is followed by 9% of voters who say they won't participate, 7% who say "other," and 5% who are still undecided. However, Biden leads Trump by three points among people registered to vote.

What Voters Think Will Happen

As expected, 83% of Republicans indicated they would vote for Trump, while 86% of Democrats said they would vote for Biden. Among non-party members, however, 36% of respondents said they would cast their ballot for Trump.

Biden only has the backing of 26% of people, putting him at a significant disadvantage in the general election.

Of the independents polled, 17% indicated they wouldn't vote, 11% replied "other," and 9% weren't sure.

Without regard to their own choices, when asked whether they think Biden or Trump will win the election, 39% indicated Trump would win, while 36% thought Biden would prevail. Over a quarter of them still don't know.

With 72% of Democrats picking Biden and 73% of Republicans picking Trump, each party is about equally certain that their candidate would win.

Forty percent of undecided voters said Trump would win, while only 26 percent predicted Biden would. 35% are still undecided about something.

The study of 1,500 U.S. adults was conducted between May 27 and 31, 2023. This comes after many weeks during which a survey conducted by the Washington Post and ABC News showed Trump with a commanding lead against Biden.

Previous Reports

As Breitbart News previously reported from an early May poll, in a hypothetical matchup between Trump and Biden, 49% of respondents said they would vote for Trump without hesitation or lean toward voting for Trump, while 42% said they would vote for Biden.

That's a significant lead for Trump over Biden, considerably over the margin of error in the survey's calculations.

If Trump is the Republican nominee in 2024, the poll's cross tabs reveal that 36% of respondents would vote for him regardless of who else is running, while 9% will vote for him likely, and 5% are leaning toward voting for him.

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