The website FiveThirtyEight has put out a forecast predicting that Democrats have a 70% chance of holding on to the Senate in this year’s midterm elections.
Yet as the Daily Wire noted this week, a left-wing polling firm called Data for Progress has released the results of surveys taken in several battleground states which show Republicans closing in.
Polls show swing state Senate races are hotly contested
The polls, which were conducted in Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada, all showed the Democratic and Republican candidates within one point of each other.
NEW BATTLEGROUND POLLS: Today, we released new polls in 3 critical battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, and Nevada. Thread below:
AZ:
Sen. Kelly narrowly leads Masters 48% – 47%GA:
Sen. Warnock and Walker tied 46% – 46%NV:
Laxalt narrowly leads Sen. Cortez Masto 47% – 46%— Data for Progress (@DataProgress) September 22, 2022
The first survey had incumbent Arizona Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly being supported by 48% of likely voters while Republican challenger Blake Masters was backed by 47%.
NEW ARIZONA SENATE POLL: Democratic Senator Mark Kelly narrowly leads his Republican opponent Blake Masters 48% – 47% among Arizona likely voters.
Read the poll, fielded September 15 – 19: https://t.co/1X8Bayrzz0 pic.twitter.com/fzUAD16jZg
— Data for Progress (@DataProgress) September 22, 2022
The second poll put first-term Georgia Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock on an even footing with Republican football legend Herschel Walker.
NEW GEORGIA SENATE POLL: Senator Raphael Warnock is currently tied with Republican Herschel Walker, with both candidates currently earning 46% support from statewide likely voters.
Read the poll, fielded September 16 – 20: https://t.co/aitaLlSkuz pic.twitter.com/aYBmj2ddmy
— Data for Progress (@DataProgress) September 22, 2022
The final Senate survey was from Nevada, and it had likely voters favoring Republican candidate Adam Paul Laxalt by one point over Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto.
NEW NEVADA SENATE POLL: Republican Senate candidate Adam Paul Laxalt narrowly leads Democratic Senator Catherine Cortez Masto among statewide likely voters, 47% – 46%.
Read the poll, fielded September 14 – 19: https://t.co/duId6igIwS pic.twitter.com/eWqTe9qx9D
— Data for Progress (@DataProgress) September 22, 2022
Arizona Republican gubernatorial candidate Kerri Lake is up by four points
In addition to looking at Senate races, Data for Progress also examined Arizona’s gubernatorial contest, and it found that Republican candidate Kerri Lake was ahead of Democrat Katie Hobbs among likely voters by four percentage points.
NEW ARIZONA GUBERNATORIAL POLL: Republican Kari Lake leads Democrat Katie Hobbs by 4% for Governor, 51% to 47%.
Read the poll, fielded September 15 – 19: https://t.co/1X8Bays7oy pic.twitter.com/dSgbtn0tjm
— Data for Progress (@DataProgress) September 22, 2022