Although Democrats held on to a slim majority on Capitol Hill, the party fell far short of expectations in last year’s election.
Now, an increasing number of pundits and pollsters are suggesting that the Democratic Party could be relegated to minority status after next year’s midterms.
GOP makes major gains
According to Fox News, a new poll by Quinnipiac University bolsters that widespread opinion, indicating that a plurality of Americans want Republicans to control the legislative branch.
The survey included respondents contacted between Friday and Monday and found that 46% said they wanted to see a GOP majority in Congress, compared to 44% who favored Democrats.
When the question was asked of registered voters, the GOP-backing segment grew to 47%.
Potentially increasing the Republican Party’s odds further is evidence that momentum is on its side. Last month, just 42% of those surveyed said they wanted to see the GOP regain a majority.
Part of that shift appears to lie in the fact that independents have broken sharply with the Democratic Party, with just over one in three expressing a desire to see that party retain legislative control during the next session.
“They signal a potentially ominous trend”
Although whites represented the most likely ethnic demographic to favor a GOP takeover, the party has made inroads among Hispanic voters. The survey indicated that 43% of Latinos hoped to see a Republican majority, which is five points lower than support for Democrats.
Pollster Tim Malloy said that while the poll’s results on their own is no indication of the outcome of midterm races, he said that they should be taken seriously by the political class.
“Though the numbers are not overwhelming, they signal a potentially ominous trend for Democrats as a plurality of voters recommend tossing out the party that controls the House,” he said.
FiveThirtyEight has determined that Quinnipiac has a slight bias toward Democrats, which could mean that the poll underestimates support for the GOP.
The rise in support for congressional Republicans coincides with a marked decrease in popularity for President Joe Biden. According to the RealClearPolitics polling average, his aggregate approval rating currently stands at just over 45%.