New analysis predicts GOP will gain even more House seats in November

According to Breitbart News, a new analysis has House Republicans gaining even more seats in the midterm elections that will be held later this year. 

The analysis comes from the University of Virginia Center for Politics. This center is predicting the possible outcomes of each House race, and, just this week, the center released ten new predictions.

The latest

Of those 10 new predictions, nine of them are in the Republicans’ favor, while only one of them is in the Democrats’. Colorado’s 7th district is the one that has gone in the Democrats’ favor from “likely Democrat” to “leans Democrat.”

Colorado’s 8th district has gone from “toss-up” to “leans Republican;” Florida’s 4th, 7th, and 28th districts have gone from “likely Republican” to “safe Republican;” North Carolina’s 13th district has gone from “toss-up” to “leans Republican;” and Wisconsins’ 1st district has gone from “likely Republican” to “safe Republican.”

The remaining races that have gone in a direction favorable to Republicans are Connecticut’s 5th district, from “likely Democrat” to “leans Democrat;” Georgia’s 2nd district, from “leans Democrat” to “like Democrat;” and Indiana’s 1st district, from “leans Democrat” to “toss-up.”

Total figures

In total, the Center for Politics is now predicting that there are 189 “safe” congressional seats for Republicans and 217 seats that are considered “safe,” “likely,” or “leans Republican,” for Republicans.

The corresponding numbers for the Democrats are 155 and 191, respectively.

It appears that the Center for Politics has House Republicans coasting to victory in the midterm elections.

What about other polls?

Republicans, in general, are favored on a number of generic ballot polls. RealClearPolitics currently has Republicans winning the generic ballot on average by 0.9 percentage points. But, a number of individual general ballots have Republicans ahead by as many as eight.

Fox News recently put out a report claiming that some polls are showing that the abortion issue is actually helping the Democrats. Many experts, though, believe economic issues will decide the day in the midterms.

Republicans only need to need a handful of seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in order to regain the majority.

Fewer seats are needed in the Senate, which is currently 50-50.

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