The website FiveThirtyEight noted earlier this year that midterm elections have historically been rough for whichever party controls the White House.
Yet things are starting to look particularly bad for President Joe Biden and his congressional allies, with evidence suggesting that they’ll face a nightmare scenario come November.
“Red tsunami” could be on the way
That was the argument put forward by Axios writers Alexi McCammond and Sophia Cai in an article published this past weekend.
They pointed to a new prediction from Cook Political Report which states that Republicans are poised to gain anywhere between 20 to 35 seats.
That figure came after Cook updated an earlier prediction by recategorizing 10 more seats as being likely GOP pick-ups. What’s more, 35 House districts that are currently represented by Democrats are now considered to be toss-ups.
“The midterm outlook for House Democrats is so bleak that even members in districts President Biden won by 10 to 15 points are in danger of losing their seats, according to election experts,” McCammond and Cai wrote.
Day-to-day economic concerns appear to trump other issues
Hot Air contributor John Sexton took note of the new forecast as well, insisting that a “red tsunami” could be in the works.
What’s more, Sexton pointed out that the revised numbers came after Politico published a leaked draft opinion showing the Supreme Court is intent on overturning Roe v. Wade,
“If Democrats were hoping to see a big shift back in their direction based on that, it doesn’t seem to be happening,” he remarked, adding that their new push for gun control doesn’t appear to be making a dent either.
According to Sexton, voters are much more concerned with day-to-day economic issues such as the price of filling their tanks.
“Here where I live in California the average gas price is now above $6 per gallon for regular, the highest average in the country,” he said.
“People may have strong feelings about other issues but when they are paying $500 a month for gas just to get to work, I feel pretty confident that’s going to be the top issue in the coming election,” Sexton concluded.