New poll has Kari Lake with a BIG lead

Kari Lake just opened up a sizeable lead on her Democratic opponent, Fox10 Phoenix reports

Lake, a Trump-endorsed Republican and former television news anchor, is facing off against Democrat Katie Hobbs, Arizona’s current secretary of state, in the race for Arizona’s governorship.

In early September, the two candidates were virtually tied in the polls.

Now, however, Lake is in the lead. And, one new poll, in particular, has Lake with a significant double-digit advantage over Hobbs.


The poll that has Lake with a double-digit lead over Hobbs comes from Insider Advantage and Fox 10 Phoenix. On behalf of Fox, Insider Advantage conducted the poll between Oct. 24 and 25, surveying 550 likely voters.

What the pollster found is that Lake has an 11 percentage point lead over Hobbs: 54% to 43%. Roughly 2% of voters are undecided.

The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, which is not enough to overcome Lake’s 11 percentage point lead.

As for what is driving Lake’s numbers up, Fox10 Phoenix reports that Lake is “polling higher among older adults and Hispanics.” The outlet also adds that “pollster Matt Towery believes that Hobbs’ reluctance to debate Lake may be a reason why the gap has widened in recent weeks.”

The red wave is coming

The poll aggregator Real Clear Politics now has Lake in the lead, on average, by 3.2 percentage points, 49% to 45.8%.

There are eight polls that were taken in the month of October besides the one from Insider Advantage/Fox. Of those eight polls, one, taken by CNN at the close of September/beginning of October, has Hobbs with a 3 percentage point lead, two have Hobbs with a one percentage point lead, and one has the race a tie. The remaining polls that have been taken in October have Lake with a lead of three to four percentage points.

The midterm elections are now rapidly closing in with less than two weeks to go until election day, and polling from across the country is trending in the Republicans’ favor. In many big races, Republican candidates have either tied things up or have taken the lead.

It really is starting to appear as though a big red wave could be on the horizon. But, of course, it’s not here until it’s here.