Georgia’s Democratic gubernatorial candidate has spent much of the past four years claiming that she was robbed in her state’s 2018 election.
Yet if recent polling data is to be believed, that claim is going to be much harder to make this time around.
Abrams trails Kemp by eight points
It placed Kemp’s support at 50% and Abrams’ at 42%. One percent of respondents said that they are planning to cast a ballot for Libertarian Shane Hazel while an additional 1% indicated that they support another unnamed candidate. Meanwhile, 6% remain undecided.
However, those results were dismissed by Tom Bonier, a strategist who also serves as CEO of the data and polling firm TargetSmart.
In a series of tweets, Bonier dismissed the poll as a “dumpster fire” and took issue with its sample size and 4.2% margin of error.
This is the season for bad, agenda-driven polls. Given all of the issues with polling over the past few cycles, I would hope that the press would be more discerning with which polls they amplify, and which they ignore.
— Tom Bonier (@tbonier) September 9, 2022
“Kemp leads in every age group in the survey,” Fox Five quoted Insider Advantage Chairman Matt Towery as saying. “He receives right at 10% of African American support and a rather astounding 68% of white voters surveyed.”
“Kemp has support from 50% of independents. With two months to go, Kemp would seem poised to potentially escape Georgia’s General Election runoff requirement,” Towery noted.
Poll shows Herschel Walker beating Sen. Rev. Raphael Warnock
Participants weren’t just asked about their feelings regarding Kemp and Abrams, as the poll also focused on Democratic Sen. Rev. Raphael Warnock and his Republican challenger Herschel Walker.
It reported that at 47%, Walker is four points ahead of Warnock, although his lead is within the survey’s margin of error.
“Warnock is winning among younger voters and seniors but trails badly among those 40-64,” said Towery. “Men support Walker at 60%, while women support Warnock at 55%. Walker is receiving 12% support from African American respondents.”