Democracy Institute poll shows Trump with electoral edge over Biden

Many political observers have expressed doubt over President Donald Trump’s chances of being re-elected in November, often citing polls that show him trailing former Vice President Joe Biden — sometimes by substantial margins.

New data seems to call those assumptions into question, however. A poll released over the weekend showed President Trump taking the lead over his Democratic rival, Breitbart reported.

New poll gives edge to Trump

Conducted by the polling firm Democracy Institute and commissioned by the Sunday Express newspaper, the survey found that President Trump currently holds a 2-point advantage over Biden in terms of national support.

More importantly, Trump was also shown to be ahead in the critical swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin, according to Breitbart.

The president carried all of those states in 2016 except for New Hampshire and Minnesota, where former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton managed to eke out narrow victories.

Biden’s “support isn’t growing”

The Sunday Express quoted the Democracy Institute’s director, Patrick Basham, as arguing that the Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee may have already peaked as a candidate.

“Although Biden remains in a competitive race with Donald Trump, and may well do so until election day, his support isn’t growing,” Basham said. “And, tellingly, almost all of the issues that matter most to voters are trending in President Trump’s favor.

“More Americans are concerned about the economy and keeping their current, or getting a new, job,” Basham went on to stress, adding, “They don’t especially blame Trump for the lockdown-induced economic contraction, and they think he’ll do a better job of righting the economic ship than Biden.”

Enthusiasm gap remains

Other important observations from the poll include the finding that there is a substantial and growing enthusiasm gap between Trump and Biden supporters, with 79% of the president’s voters saying that they are enthusiastic about their choice, compared to just 41% of Biden backers who say the same — a 2-point drop from last month.

What’s more, an increasing number of respondents said they believe that the former vice president is suffering from some form of cognitive impairment.

Also noted was Trump’s improved standing among minority voters, with 20% of Black voters pledging him their support. If accurate, that figure represents a stunning gain from the 8% of voters within that demographic group who cast a ballot for him four years ago.

Though the mainstream media establishment is trying hard to paint a Biden victory as a foregone conclusion, as this poll suggests, the race is far from over.

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