Recent polls show most voters don’t want Biden or Trump to run for second term

It is looking increasingly possible that the 2024 election could end up being a rematch of the 2020 contest and pit incumbent President Joe Biden against former President Donald Trump.

A new poll shows, however, that a majority of voters would prefer that neither of those two presidents runs for a second term in 2024, The Hill reported.

That poll followed a separate survey released just a few days prior that also showed a similarly-sized majority of Democratic voters saying that Biden shouldn’t run for another term due to his advanced age and poor job performance thus far.

Majority says no way

The latest poll comes from Politico/Morning Consult, which surveyed 2,005 U.S. adults between July 8-10 with a margin of error of 2%.

The poll showed that former President Trump would likely win the 2024 primary with 52% support of Republican voters, if he chose to run, but therein lies the question of whether Trump should run at all. According to the pollsters, 35% of all voters said Trump should “definitely” or “probably” run for office again while 61% said “No,” the former president “definitely” or “probably” should not run for a second term.

The numbers were worse for President Biden, though, as just 28% said he “definitely” or “probably” should run again in 2024 compared to 64% who said he “definitely” or “probably” should not try to run for another term in the White House.

Biden replacement

Those results aren’t too dissimilar from the findings of a recent New York Times/Siena College poll that surveyed 849 registered voters with a 4.1% margin of error.

That poll found that among voters who planned to participate in the 2024 Democratic primary contest, just 26% believed that President Biden should be renominated for a second term while 64% said the Democratic Party should nominate somebody else other than Biden.

Among those who indicated that they would prefer a different nominee than Biden, roughly a third cited the president’s advanced age while a similar amount pointed to his poor job performance as the main reasons why they wanted another choice.

That said, the pollsters nonetheless found that if the 2024 matchup still ended up being a choice between Biden and Trump, the current president would prevail over his predecessor by a margin of 44%-41%, which is within the margin of error.

Trump nomination win

The New York Post reported that the NYT/Siena poll also showed that former President Trump would win the 2024 GOP primary with 49% support from Republican voters, but would struggle substantially with young voters under 35 and among those with a college degree, not to mention approximately one-sixth of GOP voters who would either vote for Biden or a third-party candidate or not at all if Trump won the nomination.

What these polls strongly suggest is that most voters don’t want to see a 2020 rematch in 2024, but even more so than that they don’t want Biden to remain as president for another four-year term.

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