A new poll has revealed that Washington Democratic Sen. Patty Murray is virtually tied with her opponent in an intense reelection battle.
The Trafalgar Group poll showed that the battle against Republican Tiffany Smiley shows only a 2% advantage, well within the margin of error for an upset.
Another Dem Incumbent Is In Big Trouble: POLL https://t.co/XUgNTBqHHn
— Daily Caller (@DailyCaller) October 1, 2022
The poll
“The statewide survey showed that 48.7% of voters would cast a ballot for Murray if the election was held today, while 46.5% would vote for Smiley. The poll had a margin of error of 2.9%, making the race a statistical tie,” Conservative Brief reported.
“A poll conducted by the same group between Aug. 30 and Sept. 1 showed Murray leading Smiley 49.2% to 46.3%, a slightly wider gap, though still within the survey’s 2.9% error margin,” it added.
New Poll in WA-SEN shows Republican challenger Tiffany Smiley within striking distance of Sen. Patty Murray. Read the Polling Memo here: https://t.co/BFWOyFcpAE pic.twitter.com/TbbilR8o2P
— Senate Opportunity Fund (@SenOppFund) October 11, 2022
The decision
“A poll conducted by the same group between Aug. 30 and Sept. 1 showed Murray leading Smiley 49.2% to 46.3%, a slightly wider gap, though still within the survey’s 2.9% error margin,” the Daily Caller reported.
“Between the two polls, Murray’s performance among voters decreased by 0.5% while support for Smiley crept up by 0.2%,” it added.
New @trafalgar_group
#WASen #Poll (9/21-9/24) shows incumbent #Murray still holding small lead, but challenger #Smiley gaining. #wapol48.7% @MurrayCampaign
46.5% @SmileyForWA
4.8% UndSee Report: https://t.co/Vafee0lWPg pic.twitter.com/fu00kjizZR
— Robert C. Cahaly (@RobertCahaly) September 26, 2022
An upset would be a major turn of events as Murray has held the position for three decades in the left-leaning state.
The change would also add another senator to the GOP in its quest to take back control of the Senate that currently sits in a 50-50 tie.
The growing red wave could extend even to leftist Washington state as President Joe Biden’s leadership has put many leaders in his party at risk.