Study: America’s electorate is changing in the Democrats’ favor

A new report documents the consequential changes that have occurred in the demographics of America’s electorate.

The Pew Research Center has found that mass immigration to the United States has resulted in an electorate with a higher percentage of foreign-born voters, giving the Democratic Party an increasing advantage. 

The changes

The Pew Research Center, for its study, looked at the period from 2000 to 2018. What the researchers found during that period was a dropoff in the percentage of non-Hispanic white eligible voters, from 76 percent to 67 percent.

At the same time, they found a significant increase – a doubling – in the percentage of Hispanics and Asians who make up the electorate. Hispanics, for example, went from seven percent in 2000 to 13 percent in 2018, and Asians, from two percent to four percent.

Key swings states have seen a similar trend. Florida, for example, has seen a 13 percentage point increase in non-white eligible voters, Arizona, 12, Pennsylvania, 7, North Carolina 6, Wisconsin, 5, and Michigan 3.

According to the Pew Research Center,”The substantial percentage point increase of voters who are not white as a share of the country’s overall electorate was largely driven by second-generation Americans — the U.S.-born children of immigrants — coming of age, as well as immigrants naturalizing and becoming eligible to vote.”

What do the changes mean?

It is no secret that members of these demographics – Black, Hispanic, and Asian – tend to vote Democrat.

The Pew Research Center writes, “survey data spanning more than two decades shows that the Democratic Party maintains a wide and long-standing advantage among Black, Hispanic and Asian American registered voters.” In contrast, “Among White voters, the partisan balance has been generally stable over the past decade, with the Republican Party holding a slight advantage.”

Back in 2016, then-candidate Donald Trump managed, according to exit polls, to win 49 percent, compared to Hillary Clinton’s 45 percent, of native-born Americans’ support. When it comes to those who are foreign-born, however, Clinton received 64 percent to Trump’s 31.

In short, as this trend continues, that is, as these demographics make up more of the electorate, it will become more and more difficult for Republican candidates to win office.

It’s already happening

Breitbart reports that “In the upcoming 2020 election, about one-in-ten U.S. voters will have been born outside the country.” The outlet also reports that “If legal immigration levels are not reduced, the U.S. will have imported about 15 million new foreign-born voters by 2040.”

The implications are clear. The question is whether anything can or should be done about this?

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