New poll shows Trump still heavy favorite to win GOP nomination over all possible contenders

Former President Donald Trump has been saddled with blame by many for the Republican Party’s failure to meet expectations in the midterm elections, and some have speculated that the poor showing could negatively impact GOP support for another presidential bid by Trump in 2024.

A major new poll shows that Trump still crushes his likely opponents in the 2024 GOP primary however, as nearly half of Republican voters would pick him to be the nominee over any other hypothetical candidate, Breitbart reported.

That said, the former president’s support was down somewhat in this particular poll than before the midterm elections, and other polls now show Trump tied with or trailing his most likely biggest competitor for the party’s nomination, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who won re-election in a landslide and helped solidify Florida as a “red” state.

Trump the clear favorite for GOP nomination

The latest Harvard CAPS/Harris poll surveyed 2,212 registered voters between Nov. 16-17 and, among other things, asked a series of hypothetical questions about the 2024 election cycle.

Asked who they would vote for if the primary election were held today, 46 percent of GOP voters would choose Trump, down nine points from the last poll, followed by DeSantis at 28 percent, which was up 11 points over the prior survey.

If Trump weren’t a candidate, though, DeSantis leads the pack with 46 percent followed far behind by former Vice President Mike Pence — who sat in third with 7 percent with Trump in the mix — in second place at 15 percent.

The poll further showed that if Trump were the GOP nominee, he would win hypothetical matchups against both President Joe Biden, 44-42 percent, and Vice President Kamala Harris, 47-40 percent, with 14 percent and 13 percent, respectively, undecided in each potential contest.

If, however, DeSantis were to be the Republican nominee, he would tie Biden at 43 percent, with 13 percent undecided, and would beat Harris 42-39 percent, with 19 percent undecided.

DeSantis leads Trump in other new polls

Yet, while former President Trump clearly leads all potential contenders for the 2024 Republican nomination in the Harvard/Harris poll, the same cannot be said of other surveys that have been conducted in the aftermath of the midterm elections, according to FiveThirtyEight.

Indeed, there are several recent polls that show DeSantis either leading or lagging only slightly behind Trump in the hypothetical race to be the nominee, and it is increasingly obvious that the Florida governor is the clear alternative to the former president for GOP voters.

As for President Biden, the Harvard/Harris poll revealed that while he is the favorite to win the Democratic nomination in 2024, 55 percent of all voters have doubts about his mental fitness, 64 percent believe he is too old to be president, and 63 percent think that he shouldn’t run for a second term because he is a “bad president,” is “too old,” or that it is “time for a change.”

Conversely, that poll also showed that 60 percent don’t want to see Trump run for a second term, largely because he is viewed as being “erratic,” that he will further “divide America,” or that he is “responsible for” the January 6 Capitol riot in 2021.