According to a poll, former President Donald J. Trump has a commanding 30-point lead over the rest of the likely 2024 Republican primary field.
This would give him a lead of 30.3 points over Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL). The governor of Florida received 24.8% of the votes.
In comparison, 3.6 percent of participants said they would support departing Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), the vice chair of the January 6th Select Committee, while 7.5 percent said they would favor former vice president Mike Pence.
Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) received support from 3.4% of survey respondents. The question asking poll participants who they would support in the GOP primary had a sample size of 614 respondents, despite the fact that the overall poll surveyed 1,380 registered voters.
Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling, notes that support for Trump and DeSantis varies by age and educational level:
“There is a stark education divide among Republican primary voters. A 71% majority of voters with a high school degree or less support Trump in 2024 whereas 14% support DeSantis.”
“A 53% majority of those with a college degree, some college, or associate’s degree support Trump while 28% support DeSantis.”
“By contrast, Republican voters with a postgraduate degree are most split: 32% support Trump, 29% support DeSantis, and 18% support Mike Pence for the Republican nomination.”
“There is also an age divide in the Republican primary: younger voters under 50 break for Trump over DeSantis 67% to 14%, voters between 50 and 64 break for Trump 54% to 32%, while Republicans over 65 are more split: 39% support Trump and 32% DeSantis.”
The poll also examined support among possible Democrats running for president in 2024. It discovered that President Joe Biden remains the front-runner despite receiving a mere 38.7% of the vote.
Vice President Kamala Harris received the second-highest rate of support, at 16.6%, from the 591 respondents asked regarding their preference for candidates in the likely 2024 Democratic primary field.