Trump’s chances of winning Republican primary in ’24 called into question

The midterms in November are the primary focus for both major parties, as the outcome will shape the United States for better or worse.

However, according to The Hill, the 2024 presidential election is also drawing near, at least in political years, and some are now suggesting that former President Donald Trump might not be the shoo-in that he once believed he was. 

In a recent piece calling Trump’s chances of winning the Republican primary into question, The Hill points to a number of polls that suggest voters might be ready to move on from Trump.

It’s a big decision by the party, and by the party’s supporters, as few other figures even come close to matching Trump’s popularity in other polls, with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R) the only realistic match-up.

The numbers

The outlet pointed to a New York Times-Siena College poll for evidence that Trump’s spot might not be as secure as he’d like one to think.

In that poll, 49% of Republican voters said they’d back Trump, but another 47% said that they’d back another GOP candidate. Republican strategist Saul Anuzis explained what’s happening.

“People are open to another candidate,” Anuzis said. “Looking at, from a futuristic standpoint, who are some of the younger, newer Republican leaders who are emerging around the country.”

“There are a lot of new leaders emerging that would kind of continue the policies Trump supported and don’t have some of the baggage Trump has by automatically drawing a large anti-Trump constituency to the table as you start a campaign.”

For many, that analysis hits the nail on the head. A large chunk of Republican voters absolutely loved Trump’s policies and his willingness to get things done, but they could never settle on his brash attitude, not to mention having to deal with the incessant attacks from the mainstream media. A fresh, Trump-like Republican could be the best bet, some say.

Who will it be?

While a number of popular GOP senators and former Trump officials — including former Vice President Mike Pence — have been floated as possible 2024 GOP nominees, it’s Gov. DeSantis who leads the way in the polls.

“DeSantis today is probably the most viable alternative to Trump,” Anuzis explained. “A lot of people are looking at him as the next generation of Republican leaders.”

DeSantis insists that he’s only focused on securing his reelection to continue leading the state of Florida, but there’s plenty of time for that to change. Many have also offered the possibility of DeSantis running on Trump’s ticket in 2024. Only time will tell.



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