Despite the left’s efforts to smear President Donald Trump and his supporters as “racist,” recent polls from Emerson and Rasmussen show that black voters’ support for Trump is on the rise.
Buttressing those polls are even more recent results obtained by Jonathan Zogby of Zogby Analytics, who told the Washington Examiner that black voter support for Trump is currently at its “highest levels of the year.” This bodes well for a Trump victory in 2020.
The pollster attributed the rise in support for President Trump among black voters to a number of different factors that had a particular impact on their community, such as the strong economy that has featured historically low black unemployment and the president’s explicit support for minority-owned small businesses. Trump policies supporting historically black colleges and universities and criminal justice reform are also popular.
As Zogby summed it up, “Not surprisingly, all African Americans do not hate Trump!”
Of course, the left isn’t likely to admit that Trump could be making inroads among the black community and earning their support. Democrat and Obama pollster Cornell Belcher suggested that the polls saying as much are a lie. “Those reasons would assume that it’s real, which it isn’t,” Belcher told the Examiner. “To have a conversation about the reason is giving it credibility.”
Belcher went on to suggest that the polls showing increased black voter support for Trump reflected outliers with small subsamples, but Zogby said that he purposely “oversampled” black voters in his most recent survey, which showed support at 27%.
Zogby even took the extra step of measuring that support in hypothetical head-to-head matchups with top Democrat 2020 contenders, and while Trump’s support did drop — 12% versus former Vice President Joe Biden, 14% against Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), and 17% compared to Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) — all of those results remained higher than the estimated 8% support he earned in the 2016 election. The results are also higher than for any other Republican president or candidate since 1968.
This is good news for Trump in 2020, Zogby explained:
If Trump is able to up his numbers over 10% or near 15%, and with a lower turnout among African Americans because they are not excited by the field of candidates or turned off by D.C., Trump could really benefit from this scenario in the 2020 general election.
Trump campaign agrees
The Examiner reported that the Trump 2020 campaign headquarters are seeing similar numbers as well. Senior campaign official Katrina Pierson said, “The only story here is that the support is increasing. It’s on the rise. It’s not decreasing. It’s going in the right direction.”
“We’ve got our work cut out for us,” Pierson admitted, but added confidently, “I would guess that he’s going to get more than in the last election.”
According to a Politico report last week, the Trump campaign is specifically targeting black voters, touting its winning policies in campaign ads. Even a relatively small uptick in support “would eat away at Democratic margins in key swing states and possibly alter the outcome in a close election,” the report noted.
For those conservatives who have been frustrated by the GOP’s previous lackadaisical attitude toward wooing minority voters, this is welcome news indeed.