The press these days is talking about former President Donald Trump like a disgraced has-been facing an imminent jail sentence, but he still has a better shot of taking the White House in 2024 than Kamala Harris.
According to a new survey from McLaughlin & Associates, 49% of voters would choose Trump in a hypothetical match-up for the presidency, while just 45% would go for Harris. The survey of over 1,000 voters was taken between May 12 and May 18, Breitbart reported.
Trump favored against Harris in 2024: poll
To be sure, it’s not exactly a landslide, but it does belie popular narratives about Trump’s sinking prospects since his presidency ended.
Democrats haven’t quite succeeded in sending Trump into political exile. He maintains a strong hold on the Republican base and leadership, and he isn’t writing off another run in 2024. Seventy-three percent of Republican primary voters want Trump to run again, according to the poll.
Interestingly, 10% of voters who backed Joe Biden in 2020 said they would switch to Trump. Trump wins the independent vote, with the support of 48% of those surveyed, versus 42% for Harris, and he also takes the suburban vote with 52% to the vice president’s 42%.
Among Democratic primary voters, Harris was the most favored candidate to run — Biden was not listed — but Harris is less popular than her boss.
Fifty-three percent of voters approved of Biden, compared to 46% who disapprove. Harris, though, was underwater, with a 47% favorable rating and 48% feeling unfavorably toward her. A full 38% found her very unfavorable.
Biden not expected to last four years
Biden is already the oldest president in American history, and it’s not clear if he will be able to run four years from now, at which point he would be 82. It’s a scenario on many minds: the survey found 64% of Americans think Harris will take over the Oval Office before 2024, even.
Of course, Harris flamed out in her own White House bid after an initial splash of entirely fabricated media hype, before Biden chose her to be his running mate. Not a year into his presidency, though, Biden is showing signs of trouble, with frequent gaffes and mishaps keeping rumors of cognitive decline alive.
If Trump does decide to make another run for the presidency in 2024, he may have a better shot than many in the media think.