For decades, Black voters have made up a critical part of the Democratic base. However, new polling data suggests that Democrats shouldn’t take them for granted.
Historic opportunity for Trump
While the poll noted that 75 percent of likely Black voters still plan to cast a ballot for former Vice President Joe Biden, gaining 20 percent of the Black vote would represent a huge achievement for a Republican candidate.
Exit polls published by NBC News showed that the president was supported by 8 percent of Black voters in 2016, a 2 percent improvement over Republican Gov. Mitt Romney’s 2012 showing.
In his analysis, John Zogby explained how the apparent progress that Trump is making with the Black community could spell serious problems for his Democratic opponent.
“Biden should be pleased with his support among Democrats, women, and Hispanics but a lead of 75%-20% among Blacks can spell real trouble,” the veteran pollster noted. “A Democrat needs 90%+ and a high turnout among Blacks.”
Trump’s law and order message
“Could it be that Trump’s law and order message is hitting home among Blacks who are worried about demonstrations getting out of control?” Zogby asked.
Although the Democratic nominee is winning among younger voters, he is doing worse among that demographic than President Obama did.
“Biden holds 52%-35% among 18-29-year-olds but Barack Obama won with 66% in 2008 and 61% in 2012 among this young cohort,” the pollster pointed out.
Still, Zogby acknowledged that not everything is perfect for the president, warning that “his 12 point lead among white voters is not enough to offset his deficit among Hispanics.”
Paris Dennard serves as the Trump campaign’s senior communications adviser for Black media affairs, and he was quoted by the Washington Examiner as saying, “It is not surprising to see numerous polls showing President Trump’s approval with Black voters increasing.”
“After watching both political conventions make their best case, Black Americans are giving President Trump a second look, and many a first look, because they are learning more about his record of achievement and Joe Biden’s old and new policies that work against the Black community coupled with Biden’s consistently offensive bigoted comments,” Dennard continued.