A member of President Donald Trump’s 2020 campaign team has another reason why one ought not to trust national polls.
According to Tim Murtaugh, Trump 2020’s director of communications, a function of national polls is to “suppress the enthusiasm” of those voters who plan to vote for President Trump.
On Saturday, with 100 days to go until the general election, Murtaugh sat down for an interview with Breitbart News Saturday.
Up for discussion were the national polls, which have former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democrat’s presumptive presidential nominee, beating Trump handily. According to Murtaugh, though, we shouldn’t take these polls too seriously because they “are only designed to do one thing.”
“They are trying to create a narrative, and these polls are designed — this is why they are released and published — they’re designed to create headlines, and they are actively trying to suppress the enthusiasm of President Trump’s voters,” Murtaugh argued.
There’s got to be some truth to that
Murtaugh supported his claim with two polls that were recently conducted by Quinnipiac University and CNN.
The problem, according to Murtaugh, is that both of these polls only had a Republican sample size of 24 percent. In other words, Republican voters were underrepresented.
“Twenty-four percent — less than a quarter of the country,” Murtaugh said. “That compares to Republican turnout according to exit polls in both 2016 and 2018 of 33 percent, so they’re undersampling Republicans by 9 points in that poll.”
This being the case, Murtaugh said that it’s no wonder that national polls show Biden leading President Trump.
Plenty of enthusiasm
Murtaugh went on to point out a number of good signs for the Trump campaign, including the president’s primary results, which Murtaugh said “blasted” all previous incumbents seeking reelection. Murtaugh also pointed to a huge 40-point lead that he says Trump has over Biden in enthusiasm.
“We know that our voters, President Trump’s voters, will run through a brick wall to vote for Donald Trump,” Murtaugh said. “Ain’t nobody running through a brick wall for Joe Biden, we know that.”
If Murtaugh is right about all of this, then there is no reason to get discouraged about national poll results. All we should worry about is showing up to vote in November. We do that and it will be 2016 all over again, with Biden, instead of Hillary Clinton, winning the polls and Trump winning the presidency.