DANIEL VAUGHAN: Democrats Released an Autopsy With No Cause of Death

By 
, May 25, 2026

On Thursday, the Democratic National Committee released its autopsy of the 2024 election. Turn to the conclusion and you find a single line: “This section was not provided by the author.” Turn to the executive summary. The same line.

The party spent more than a year on a 192-page report meant to explain the worst presidential defeat it had suffered since 2004. Then it published the report with no executive summary and no conclusion. Democrats did not shelve their autopsy so much as fail to finish it.

No cause of death

Newsweek went through the document and found all five executive-level sections blank or incomplete: the executive summary, the conclusion, the appendices, the notes for the reader, and the sources. A 192-page report resting on hundreds of empirical claims, and the sources page reads: not provided.

DNC Chair Ken Martin commissioned the review, sat on it, then apologized for the way it came out. When he got the draft late last year, he said, it “wasn’t ready for primetime — not even close — and because no source material was provided, it would have meant starting over.” He released it anyway, under pressure from governors and donors and a CNN report about to run: “It does not meet my standards, and it won’t meet your standards.”

The party did not just disown the report in a statement. It marked up its own document in red before publishing it, flagging its own paid analysis with notes like “Claim contradicts public reporting” and “Analysis not supported by the data.” In one passage the DNC had to annotate its own strategist to note that, in 2022, Joe Biden was president. The author, Paul Rivera, is no longer working with the committee. A Democratic strategist, Jared Leopold, put it plainly: the report “would’ve gotten a C+ at best in a college class. I can’t believe we spent a year talking about it.”

The report does carry a title: “Build to Win. Build to Last.” That is the slogan the party stamped on a study of how it lost the White House and the Senate while outspending Donald Trump two to one and losing every battleground state. The slogan made it onto the cover. The conclusion did not.

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That is the document.

Republicans did this in 2013

After 2012, the Republican Party ran the opposite play. Reince Priebus commissioned a review and unveiled a 100-page report in March 2013, which the party billed as the most comprehensive post-election review of a loss ever made. It had a conclusion. It had findings. It had Priebus standing at the National Press Club reading the diagnosis out loud: “Our message was weak; our ground game was insufficient; we weren’t inclusive; we were behind in both data and digital.”

The report made hard recommendations the base did not want to hear: a $10 million outreach push, comprehensive immigration reform, and a shorter primary calendar. The party also rebuilt the machine. It hired a Facebook engineer as chief technology officer after its Election Day turnout app crashed and Barack Obama’s data operation lapped it.

The recommendations were not all correct. Donald Trump ignored the central one. The report said close the gap with Hispanic voters by passing immigration reform; Trump ran the opposite way in 2016 and won. The autopsy was wrong about the cure. But the party did the work. It named the disease and finished the report. Then it fought about the cure in public. That is what a functioning party does after a loss. The Democrats never got to the fight, because they could not finish the report.

Why the party can’t finish it

The honest finding is sitting inside the document. The “Kamala is for they/them; President Trump is for you” ad worked. The report’s own pollsters called it effective and concluded nothing could have answered it. The report urges the party to move off identity politics.

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That prescription is an attack on a faction. The socialists and communists who anchor the party’s activist base run on identity politics. Telling the party to drop it tells them to pack up. So they will not let the finding stand. An autopsy that names the cause of death names them.

So the left points elsewhere. The progressive wing wants the cause of death to be Gaza. Common Dreams called the report “almost worthless” for burying it; the pro-Palestinian Institute for Middle East Understanding demanded the DNC release what its own data said about Israel. But Gaza is not what cost Kamala Harris the election. The report’s own finding points one direction; the loudest faction in the party points another; and neither will sign a death certificate with its own name on it.

Two factions, no agreement on the cause. The autopsy stops at 192 pages with the cause-of-death page blank.

Democrats can win. That is not the problem.

None of this means the party is finished. It is not, and conservatives who think otherwise should remember recent history. The Republican Party was radioactive after 2008. Voters blamed it for the financial crisis, and its national numbers sat at record lows. Two years later it stormed back, taking control of the House and picking up more than 60 seats in a resounding rebuke.

Out-parties recover. They usually recover at the first midterm without doing much of anything, because the midterm is a referendum on the party in power. Anti-Trump anger will probably be enough to win House seats in 2026. Democrats do not need a message to win a midterm; they need an opposition, and they have one.

But 2028 needs a message

2028 is where the missing report comes due. Anti-Trump is a mood, not an agenda. One thing the report does say plainly is that the 2024 campaign “appears to have assumed Trump was so unacceptable that persuadable voters would automatically vote Democratic.” That assumption lost. It is also the only plan the party has for 2028. What does Kamala Harris say that she did not say in 2024? What does Gavin Newsom run on besides being from California and against Trump? The field has no answer, because the party never settled the argument the autopsy was supposed to start.

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In 2028, the target will not be on the ballot. Trump is term-limited. Democrats can run against him a fourth time since 2016 if they want, but the anti-Trump message has carried exactly one of the three presidential elections it has run in. That one was 2020. Joe Biden carried Georgia, Arizona, and Wisconsin, the three states that decided the Electoral College, by a hair.

Trump’s approval will rise and fall between now and then, the way every president’s does. Approval is not the hard data; the last three presidential elections are, and the most recent gave Trump the popular vote and a sweep of the swing states. A party betting its 2028 future on his unpopularity is betting against the clearest evidence it has.

The voters see it. A majority of Democrats told a NYT/Siena poll this month the party has to move to the center to win. The report gestured at the same conclusion. The chair disowned the report. Even National Review noticed the document skipped the cultural fights that cost Democrats the most ground, the one finding the party most needed to confront.

Republicans have a message and a policy agenda. Voters can take it or leave it, but it exists. Democrats do that work so badly they could not finish the one document that would have told them they need one.

A party that cannot finish its own autopsy is not going to write its own future.

" A free people [claim] their rights, as derived from the laws of nature."
Thomas Jefferson