Trump's Saturday deadline looms hard. What will Hamas do, and how will they react to Donald Trump and the United States playing "bad cop" to Netanyahu and Israel's "good cop" routine? For the first time in four years, the terrorist organization has to depend on the leniency of Israel, while the United States of America threatens to eradicate it from the face of the earth.

After seeing the condition of the hostages Hamas recently released, Donald Trump changed his tune on Hamas, threatening to leave the ceasefire. He demanded Hamas release all the hostages, or "all hell is going to break out." The deadline for the fulfillment of this deal is noon Saturday.

At first, Israel echoed this sentiment but slowly backed down to simply demanding Hamas fulfill the releases of this phase of the ceasefire, which would be 9 of the remaining 76 hostages. And Hamas seems to be signaling it will meet this ceasefire deal.

Does Donald Trump accept this deal? That's unclear.

Seth Mandel notes in Commentary, "On the one hand, Trump is unlikely to do anything that would blow up the ceasefire deal if both sides are still committed to adhering to its terms. He's proud of the deal and doesn't want the war to resume if he can help it. On the other hand, in this scenario, Hamas's threat to suspend the deal would go unpunished."

Part of the answer is the strategic leak from U.S. intelligence. The Wall Street Journal reports that "Israel sees opening for strikes on Iranian nuclear sites." This is similar to reports from the waning days of the Biden administration, which suggested that Israel was considering such a move.

The Journal adds, "The U.S. intelligence community produced a second report delivered during the early days of President Trump's administration reiterating that Israel is considering such strikes ... U.S. military support and munitions would likely be needed for an Israeli attack on Iran's heavily fortified nuclear sites given their complexity, U.S. military officials say."

During the Biden administration, White House staffers feared "Israel would push the Trump administration to back the strikes." With Trump backing "all hell to break out," Hamas and Iran have to face the possibility they're staring down the barrel of having their most powerful negotiation tools removed from the table: nuclear arms.

Last July, then-Secretary of State Anthony Blinken shocked the world when he admitted "Iran's breakout time – the amount of time needed to produce enough weapons grade material for a nuclear weapon – 'is now probably one or two weeks' as Tehran has continued to develop its nuclear program."

Israel's fears that Biden turned a blind eye and even helped fund Iran as it achieved nuclear status were well founded. And the Iranians took the threat of a Trump presidency seriously, attempting to assassinate him. That threat against Trump's life is not gone.

Axios reports, "Law enforcement officials warned Trump last year that Tehran had placed operatives in the U.S. with access to surface-to-air missiles. Trump's team worried that the Iranians could try to down his easily recognizable personal jet — better known as 'Trump Force One' — as it was taking off or landing."

Trump's security detail was so concerned that at one point, they used Trump Force One as a decoy plane and split up campaign staff. Few knew of the plan except the highest echelon of the campaign staff.

Hamas is a proxy for Iran, and now they face the dual threat of Trump playing harder on them than Israel, and Trump very clearly sees Iran as a direct threat to his life.

Whatever happens on Saturday, it seems clear that Trump and Israel are escalating pressure on Iran to put direct pressure on Hamas. This hostage situation has to work out, or Trump may let Israel attack Iran separately. Gone are the days of pretending we can bomb Hamas and pretend that's a response.

Now, when Hamas acts like a squeaky wheel, we're squeezing Iran. The U.S. position is one where we attack the cause of all the problems instead of the proxies and symptoms. It's a refreshing change but one that's unclear.

And the first unclear step is what happens on Saturday. Perhaps nothing. Perhaps Hamas and Israel tip-toe quietly past Donald Trump and try to keep the current ceasefire. But Hamas could also be pretending that things are still normal and that the threats to bomb Iran's nuclear facilities and relocate every Palestinian are more real than they could imagine.

Hamas no longer controls its own destiny. And in truth, Iran is in the same boat. Their best bet for survival is keeping the lowest profile any country has done for the next four years. The problem is that they butchered Americans and Jews on October 7 and mistreated hostages in captivity.

That demands an answer, no matter what happens on Saturday.