Political analysts suggest Colorado ballot removal ruling will help boost Trump's support

 December 24, 2023

Trump haters -- Democrats and Republicans alike -- cheered when Colorado's Supreme Court ruled that former President Donald Trump was disqualified from appearing on the state's primary election ballot due to his purported role in inciting and leading the "insurrection" that was the Jan. 6 Capitol riot of 2021.

They may want to check their celebrations, however, as Republican strategist Karl Rove predicted that the seemingly adverse ruling for Trump may ultimately work to his benefit in terms of increased voter support and fundraising, according to Fox News.

The questionable court ruling was just one of several dubious efforts in states across the country to have the former president declared legally ineligible to run for or hold office under the auspices of Section 3 of the 14th Amendment.

Trump will benefit from Colorado ruling

"It serves to energize the Trump supporters and to give the former president a chance to raise more money from people who are suddenly going to be angry about what's going on," Rove told Fox News host Martha MacCallum of the Colorado Supreme Court ruling.

"This does not look fair, does not look appropriate. And the response is going to be to drive up the president's -- the former president's numbers," he continued.

Rove pointed to recent polling about Trump's mounting legal woes more broadly and highlighted the deep partisan split that shows the vast majority of Republicans believe the indictments and litigation against Trump are "politically motivated" while even more Democrats believe it is all justified by his alleged criminal behavior.

This ruling out of Colorado plays right into that narrative and, as a result, the GOP strategist surmised, "So you're going to have, among the Republicans, this is going to give the former president, a big, big jump."

Biden team reportedly "pissed" about Colorado ruling boosting Trump's narrative

By no means is Karl Rove alone in thinking that the Colorado Supreme Court's ruling on former President Trump's ballot eligibility will actually play to Trump's benefit, as NBC News analysis also suggested the decision was a "political gift" to the former president's re-election campaign.

Elected officials and political insiders from both parties, including many who don't particularly like Trump, all reached similar conclusions that the Colorado ruling would boost Trump's fundraising and support by bolstering his narrative that he is the victim of anti-democratic political persecution.

One unnamed source described as "familiar" with discussions inside President Joe Biden's campaign and White House said they were "pissed" about the court's decision because it looked like "Colorado is attempting election interference through non-elected Democratic-appointed justices with funding from 'shady left-wing donors" -- which is exactly what it was.

Polling shows Trump has benefited from mounting legal woes

The Colorado Supreme Court's ruling to disqualify former President Trump from the state's ballot occurred too soon to be fully reflected in national polling, but if the past several months of multiple criminal indictments and ongoing trials and litigation provides any example it is that Trump's numbers will continue to rise.

Indeed, according to the RealClearPolitics average of GOP primary polls, Trump garners nearly 64% support among Republican voters and maintains a roughly 52-point lead over his nearest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, with less than 12% support.

Notably, in late March, before Trump was hit with all four separate criminal indictments, he only held around a 15-point advantage over DeSantis with around 45% support compared to nearly 30% for the Florida governor.

As for the likely 2024 rematch of the 2020 election, RCP currently shows Trump with a 2.3-point lead over Biden, 46.8-44.5%, and though that hypothetical race remains rather close it is evident that there was a clear shift in momentum in Trump's favor that came with the indictments and lawsuits and trials that are now compounded by the actions of the Colorado court.

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