New poll shows Americans not enthusiastic about Trump-Biden rematch

February 7, 2023

Sizeable majorities of voters said in a new poll that they would not be too enthusiastic about a Trump-Biden rematch in 2024. 

When asked if they would be upset or dissatisfied about President Joe Biden winning a second term, more than 62% answered affirmatively in the poll by the Washington Post-ABC News poll. When asked the same thing about former President Donald Trump, 56% said they would be.

A majority of 58% of Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents said they wanted to see someone other than Biden as the nominee, while only 31% preferred Biden as the nominee.

A smaller plurality of Republicans, 49%, said they wanted someone other than Trump as the nominee, with only 44% saying they wanted Trump.

Trump edges Biden but not by much

Only 43% said they would be "enthusiastic" or "satisfied" if Trump returns to the White House, while for Biden it was even lower at 36%.

In a hypothetical matchup, Trump beats Biden 48% to 45%, but that is within the poll's margin of error.

The poll attributed these numbers partly to people's perception that they are not any better off under Biden's leadership, with only 16% saying they are better off and the rest pretty evenly split between saying they are about the same (42%) or worse off (41%).

Biden and Trump both weakened

The problem is, neither Biden nor Trump is a particularly strong candidate, for different reasons.

Biden looks like he has dementia and just seems to turn everything he touches to excrement, while Trump gets attacked relentlessly by the media and doesn't help himself when he attacks anyone who crosses him, even within his own party.

Has our democracy been so diminished that we end up with nothing but lackluster candidates because no one of any quality wants to deal with the job?

It's pretty clear that Biden and Trump are not the best our Democracy has to offer, so why do they consistently get the most votes of all potential candidates?

Lose-lose situation?

One worry about the race is that another poll showed 28% of Republicans would support Trump as an independent candidate if he doesn't win the nomination. This would make it impossible for a Republican to be elected because the vote would be split--and Trump will not commit to supporting the GOP nominee at this point.

The biggest worry about another Biden run is that most voters have lost confidence in his leadership, which will likely lead at least some to vote for the GOP nominee instead.

It seems like a lose-lose situation either way, but there may not be a way around it.

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