Poll shows substantial decline among Democrats in support for Biden 2024 campaign

 February 9, 2023

If President Joe Biden had hoped to use his State of the Union address on Tuesday as a springboard for an anticipated announcement of a re-election campaign in 2024, he may want to go back and rethink those plans.

Just one day before Biden's big speech, a major poll revealed that only around 37 percent of his own fellow Democrats want to see him run for a second term, the Conservative Brief reported.

That was down substantially from the 52 percent of Democrats who would have supported a Biden re-election bid in that same poll just a few months ago, just prior to the 2022 midterm elections in November.

Vanishing support for a second term

That devastating news for President Biden came on Monday with the release of the latest results from an AP-NORC survey of 1,068 American adults between Jan. 26-30, with a margin of error of around 4.2 percent.

Overall, only around 22 percent of those polled said "Yes" when asked if Biden should seek a second term, compared to 78 percent who said "No."

Among Democrats, just 37 percent want to see Biden run again in 2024 while 62 percent did not want to see that.

Unsurprisingly, the numbers were far worse with independent and Republican respondents, with a mere 12 percent and 9 percent, respectively, signaling support for a re-election bid compared to 88 percent and 91 percent, again respectively, who are opposed to the idea of Biden seeking another term in the White House.

Young Democrats especially don't want to see another Biden campaign

According to the Associated Press, follow-up interviews with some of those surveyed contained even more bad news for President Biden, in that "many believe the 80-year-old’s age is a liability, with people focused on his coughing, his gait, his gaffes, and the possibility that the world’s most stressful job would be better suited for someone younger."

Speaking of age, the pollsters found a distinct age gap within the decline of the numbers of Democrats who would support Biden's re-election campaign in 2024.

Though Biden's support fell considerably among all Democrats, the drop was most pronounced and around 22 percent among voters aged 18-44, which fell from 45 percent in October to just 23 percent now, while among those aged 45 and above, Biden's support fell around 9 percent over that same time span, from 58 percent to 49 percent.

Horrible TV ratings for Biden speech

Meanwhile, after likely having his second-term hopes crushed by the results of that AP-NORC poll just prior to his State of the Union address, President Biden received even more bad news shortly after he delivered that speech.

According to NBC News, Biden's big speech drew the second smallest TV audience for a joint address to Congress since the Neilsen company began to keep track of the ratings for such annual events in 1993.

Biden's address on Tuesday was watched by an estimated 27.3 million Americans, down roughly 28 percent from the estimated 38.2 million who tuned in to watch his State of the Union address in 2022.

The only other presidential speech before Congress to have even fewer viewers than that was Biden's first address to a joint session of Congress in 2021 -- a new president's first speech before Congress isn't officially considered a "State of the Union" address -- that garnered only 26.9 million viewers.

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