Pollster Nate Silver says Biden should consider getting off Democratic ticket

By 
 May 24, 2024

President Joe Biden appears all but assured of being nominated in Chicago this summer at the Democratic National Convention.

However, recent survey data led one left-leaning pollster to suggest that Biden should consider resigning from his party's ticket. 

Nate Silver says Biden's departure "shouldn't be taboo"

According to the Daily Caller, that idea was put forward in a social media post by Nate Silver on Thursday, who wrote, "If Biden is still struggling in August he needs to consider stepping aside."

"It's not a great situation for [Democrats] either way, but you have to do due diligence on the question. It's an important election, obviously. It shouldn't be taboo to talk about," he added. 

The Daily Caller pointed out that Silver's remarks came in the wake of a Cook Political Report/BSG/GS Strategy Group poll.

Independent candidates boost Trump's lead

It found that independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West and Green Party nominee Jill Stein are taking a serious toll on Biden's prospects in four swing states.

Their presence on the ballot increased former President Donald Trump's lead from one point to four points in Arizona.

Trump also gained a point each in Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina. The additional candidates only harmed Trump in Nevada, where they cost him a point, and had no effect on the race in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

The former president was ahead of his successor regardless of who else is on the ballot in every swing state except Wisconsin, where the two were tied.

Silver: Limiting debates is "bad sign for his campaign"

During an episode of his podcast "Risky Business," Silver further addressed Biden's decision to have no more than two debates against Trump.

"Usually when you are behind in an election, and Biden is behind right now in the large majority of swing state polls, you want more uncertainty," Silver said.

"You want more variance. Meaning that you should want more debates because they add more volatility to the election," explained.

"And instead, Biden wants fewer. That to me is a really, really, really, really bad sign for his campaign," the pollster declared.

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