Trump wins big at CPAC

 March 5, 2023

Former President Donald Trump just blew away his 2024 competition in a new poll, Fox News reports

The poll comes from the recently-held Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC), which took place in Fort Washington, Maryland.

As usual, CPAC held a straw poll to determine which Republican has the conference's support. And, Trump won - big time.

A majority victory

Oftentimes with such polls, the winner only receives a plurality victory. But, here, Trump won with majority support: Fox reports that Trump received 62% of the vote.

Polls have been suggesting for many months now that the 2024 Republican presidential primary is a two-horse race between Trump and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis (R). And, CPAC's poll confirms this - sort of.

Second place - a distant second place - went to DeSantis. He received 20% of the vote. This means that Trump topped DeSantis by 42 percentage points, which is a significantly bigger margin than most polls - and it makes the 2024 presidential primary look like a one-horse race.

What about the vice presidency?

According to Fox, at CPAC, it was Arizona Republican Kari Lake who received the most support for the vice presidential spot in 2024. Lake received 20% of the vote.

DeSantis, for the second time on the evening, came in second place, receiving 14% support.

It is safe to say that Republicans would be satisfied with either a Trump-Lake or Trump-DeSantis ticket.

A point of criticism

One thing that has to be highlighted about CPAC's poll is that it is a poll of CPAC Republicans, and CPAC Republicans, as this poll and several previous CPAC polls would suggest, heavily support Trump - more than the average Republican.

Polling, in general, has made it clear that Trump is a Republican favorite heading into 2024. There is no disputing that. But, the question is whether Trump has enough support across party lines to become president.

Some Republicans argue that Trump does not and that the 2022 midterm elections are proof of this. They argue that, while it is true that Trump enjoys great support among Republicans, he struggles to get the support of independents.

For this reason, Republicans - who would otherwise support Trump - argue that if the Republicans want to take back the presidency in 2024, they need a candidate other than Trump. And, this is where DeSantis's name pops up.

Whether this line of argument holds water is unclear. It is something that, no doubt, will play out in the coming year as we move closer and closer to 2024.

" A free people [claim] their rights, as derived from the laws of nature."
Thomas Jefferson
© 2015 - 2024 Conservative Institute. All Rights Reserved.