Trump leads Biden by 9 points in battleground state of Pennsylvania

By 
 October 13, 2023

Former President Donald Trump holds a nine-point lead over President Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, according to a new poll from Emerson College.

The latest information showed Trump at 45% to Biden at 36%, with 11% choosing another candidate and 8% undecided.

Minds made up?

"Only half of those supporting Trump said they could not think of something Trump may do over the next few months that would cause them not to support the former president in the 2024 election, while 22 percent can think of something he could do that would make them switch their vote," the Hill noted.

"A slightly larger sum of Biden supporters, 53 percent, said they could not think of something Biden could do to make them switch, and 17 percent said Biden could do something to prompt them to change their minds," it added.

The details

“Biden leads Trump 44% to 39% among voters under 40, however those under 30 within this group break for Trump 45% to 39%," Spencer Kimball, Executive Director of Emerson College Polling, said in statement.

“An additional group that splits their ticket include voters whose highest level of education is a high school degree or less: these voters break for Trump 53% to 27%," he observed.

The national outlook

"More than half of American voters said they will vote for Republican front-runner Donald Trump in the 2024 general election — including 30% of Democrats — regardless of who he's running against and who his running mate is, according to the latest Rasmussen poll released Tuesday," Newsmax reported.

"Trump wins the election going away with 53% of the vote from the survey of likely voters, including 38% who said they are 'very likely' to vote for him," it continued.

While Trump's number are strong nationally, the electoral vote is critical to the final outcome of the election. In 2020, a handful of states determined the final outcome, including Pennsylvania, that ultimately fell to Democrats.

In addition, other key states in the 2024 election include Arizona and Georgia, both states that Trump lost in the previous election.

Trump appears to be doing well in some recent polls but it's still too close and too far from the election to be confident of who will be president after the next election.

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