DANIEL VAUGHAN: Trump's Honeymoon Period Continues
The Trump honeymoon period continues. The latest polls from CBS News show Trump's second term starting off on a high note, which includes everything we've seen from Elon Musk, DOGE, and the blitz of executive orders. As with any administration, there are some caution lights, but Trump remains at his strongest point across two terms.
Overall, 53% of voters approve of Trump's term in office so far, and 70% say he's doing what he promised in the campaign. CBS News polling is so positive for Trump that it's identical to Rasmussen Reports, with a six-point margin in approval and disapproval.
On the plus side, Americans support Trump's push to deport illegal aliens by a 59% margin and send troops to the border with a 64% margin. On the negative side, 66% of Americans say Trump isn't focusing enough on lowering prices.
That last point is critical because inflation has not been solved. Joe Biden left a festering mess on inflation as the Federal Reserve has paused rate cuts. As I wrote a couple of weeks ago on Democrats, "their ideas like price controls, yelling "Putinflation" or "Greedflation," and the rest haven't solved anything."
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell heads to Capital Hill this week to talk to Congress about interest rates, inflation, and more. What the Fed does moving forward will impact Trump's approval ratings and the right against inflation.
Whereas Biden did little to combat inflation besides blaming everyone and everything but himself, Trump has indicated some supply-side initiatives that could help cool inflation. Things like encouraging American energy production, lower taxes, and fewer regulations on U.S. companies can spur lower costs domestically, while the Fed attempts to keep a cap on the demand side of the ledger.
Will it work? That's anyone's guess at this point; not even the Federal Reserve's projections know that. But Americans are following it. They blame Biden for most of the inflation issues but would like to see Trump focus on it as well.
The last point in the CBS Poll is interesting, too. 51% of respondents say they'd like Elon Musk to have "a lot" or "some" influence over government operations and spending, whereas 49% want Musk to have "not much" or "no" influence. Given that Musk has received the bulk of the media attention so far, these numbers suggest Musk's influence is fine with most Americans for now.
Looking back, Joe Biden started out with positive numbers, too. It wasn't until his disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan that Biden's approval tanked and never recovered. Donald Trump spent the entirety of his first term underwater in approval, and it's only now that he's seen a dramatic climb in popularity.
The moral of that story is that Trump's honeymoon period is likely to continue until some event impacts voters' opinions. In Biden's case, it was a decision he made in Afghanistan. For Barack Obama, voters revolted over his bailouts and healthcare legislation.
Right now, the overarching story for Trump is inflation and immigration. Voters are giving him leeway on inflation as his administration settles in, and they're on board with his deportation policies. How long of a runway he gets with inflation is unknown, but it won't last forever.
When asked about him, voters use the words "tough," "energetic," "focused," and "effective." Compare that to the "Sleepy Joe" administration, which struggled to stay afloat, and health and mental capacity issues sinking the ticket, and it's a stark contrast.
Trump's wide-ranging, impromptu press conferences, during which he signs executive orders and answers reporter questions on anything they ask, are one-of-a-kind political events. While many past presidents boasted the ability to go toe-to-toe with reporters, Trump is doing it all the time. He's blocking out the sun from Democrats getting a word in edgewise.
That's why it's funny to watch Democrats complain that Trump is flooding the zone with a million topics to distract everyone from "the thing." It is true Trump is engaging in "shock and awe" to flood the zone, but it seems that way even more because we've had four years with a president who people questioned could walk up stairs.
Trump hasn't been tested yet. That's always the big thing for all presidents: They get some early test of their powers from an external force. Trump hasn't hit that yet, even though there have been big news stories.
Once we get the first big test, we'll see what voters think shift after that. Biden failed his big test and never recovered. In fact, Biden failed his first test and practically every single one after that.
We're approaching one month of Trump 2.0, and voters are happy. It's up to Trump to keep things on track.